IFA Index Portfolio 100 S2B2S2B2100IFA Index Portfolio 95 S2B2S2B295IFA Index Portfolio 90 S2B2S2B290IFA Index Portfolio 85 S2B2S2B285IFA Index Portfolio 80 S2B2S2B280IFA Index Portfolio 75 S2B2S2B275IFA Index Portfolio 70 S2B2S2B270IFA Index Portfolio 65 S2B2S2B265IFA Index Portfolio 60 S2B2S2B260IFA Index Portfolio 55 S2B2S2B255IFA Index Portfolio 50 S2B2S2B250IFA Index Portfolio 45 S2B2S2B245IFA Index Portfolio 40 S2B2S2B240IFA Index Portfolio 35 S2B2S2B235IFA Index Portfolio 30 S2B2S2B230IFA Index Portfolio 25 S2B2S2B225IFA Index Portfolio 20 S2B2S2B220IFA Index Portfolio 15 S2B2S2B215IFA Index Portfolio 10 S2B2S2B210IFA Index Portfolio 5 S2B2S2B25IFA Index Portfolio 0 S2B2S2B20

Results:


Probability that one fund beats the benchmark in a given year: 0.0%

Probability that the combination of all the funds beats the benchmark in a given year: 0.0%

Probability that the combination of all the funds beats the benchmark for the whole period: 0.0%


Disclosures:

  1. The expected return of an active fund in any given year is assumed to fall below the benchmark return by the amount of its expense ratio combined with one year's worth of the front-end load.
  2. Based on a study conducted by Index Fund Advisors of 237 active funds over a 20 year period, the assumed standard deviation of a fund's alpha (difference between the fund return and the benchmark) is 6%. Choosing a lower value than 6% would lower the probability of a fund beating the benchmark.
  3. Alphas are assumed to follow a normal distribution, and each fund's alpha is assumed to be independent of all other alphas.