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Paul Samuelson and the Proof That Prices Move Randomly
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Paul Samuelson and the Proof That Prices Move Randomly

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by Mark Hebner Thursday, November 13, 2025
How a single theorem reshaped finance, why market timing is so hard, and how these ideas live on in index funds and IFA’s MarketCoin.
  …Read More

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Explore the truth behind financial celebrities in investing and learn how to use mathematical tools to test manager performance effectively.
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The Myth of the Star Fund Manager - Why Stories Beat Statistics

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by Robin Powell — Wednesday, November 12, 2025
The financial media loves heroes, but markets don’t. A few managers will always look brilliant for a while; the real question is whether their results clear a statistical bar high enough to separate skill from luck. This three-part series is your roadmap.  … Read More
Is your star fund manager truly skilled or just lucky? Learn why most funds can't prove lasting outperformance—and how to test it yourself.
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Run the Numbers Yourself How to Test Any Manager's Claim to Skill

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by Robin Powell — Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Is your star fund manager truly skilled or just lucky? Learn why most funds can't prove lasting outperformance—and how to test it yourself.  … Read More
Learn how flipping a MarketCoin reveals the vast combinations of potential market paths and challenges market timing predictions.
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Why Market Timing Is Nearly Impossible: A MarketCoin Perspective

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by Mark Hebner — Thursday, November 06, 2025
Learn how flipping a MarketCoin reveals the vast combinations of potential market paths and challenges market timing predictions.  … Read More
Diversification paid off in Q3 as U.S., international, and emerging equities delivered positive returns alongside gains in bond markets.
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Diversified Portfolios Reap Rewards in Q3 of 2025 Across Asset Classes: Key Insights for IFA Investors

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by Jesse Fulton — Monday, November 03, 2025
U.S. stocks continued to rise in the third quarter, with major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching new highs. This growth was supported by ongoing trade negotiations and an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September—the first rate cut in nearly a year. The strong performance  … Read More
Learn why index investing aligns with Nobel-winning insights on capitalism's self-renewing system, driven by creative destruction and open knowledge.
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The 2025 Nobel Prize and What It Reveals About Your Portfolio

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by Robin Powell — Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Learn why index investing aligns with Nobel-winning insights on capitalism’s self-renewing system, driven by creative destruction and open knowledge.  … Read More
What connects a 1900 Paris thesis, a Chicago economist, and a digital coin toss? Louis Bachelier first imagined markets as random walks; Eugene Fama later proved that efficiency means returns behave like a "fair game," or martingale.
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The Random Walk of Markets: From Bachelier to MarketCoin

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by Mark Hebner — Monday, October 27, 2025
What connects a 1900 Paris thesis, a Chicago economist, and a digital coin toss? Louis Bachelier first imagined markets as random walks; Eugene Fama later proved that efficiency means returns behave like a "fair game," or martingale. Today, Mark Hebner’s MarketCoin experiment brings this theory to life—showing that daily, monthly, and annual returns line up almost perfectly with the mathematical fingerprint of market randomness.  … Read More
Explore how the Securities Acts of 1933, 1934, and 1940 revolutionized financial data analysis through transparency and regulatory enforcement.
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Regime Change of Data

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by Mark Hebner — Monday, October 27, 2025
Explore how the Securities Acts of 1933, 1934, and 1940 revolutionized financial data analysis through transparency and regulatory enforcement.  … Read More
Why stock-picking and market timing are losing games—and how IFA's MarketCoin helps investors experience the randomness of markets.
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Eugene Fama, Random Walks and the Revolution That Made Indexing Inevitable

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by Mark Hebner — Thursday, October 23, 2025
Why stock-pickingand market timingare losing games—and how IFA’s MarketCoin helps investors experience the randomness of markets.  … Read More
As part of IFA's ongoing research series, we've put under our microscope Great-West/Empower's active strategies.
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Great-West/Empower: A Deeper Look at the Performance

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by Murray Coleman — Wednesday, October 22, 2025
As part of IFA's ongoing research series, we've put under our microscope Great-West/Empower's active strategies.  … Read More
Discover why proving consistent investment skill requires vast amounts of data and why most fund managers fall short over time.
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How Long Is Long Enough - Why Most Hot Hands Dont Clear the Bar for Skill

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by Robin Powell — Monday, October 20, 2025
Discover why proving consistent investment skill requires vast amounts of data and why most fund managers fall short over time.  … Read More
Explore the life lessons and financial wisdom of Jonathan Clements, a legendary columnist who championed simplicity and peace of mind in investing.
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What Jonathan Clements Learned From Death About Money and Life

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by Robin Powell — Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Explore the life lessons and financial wisdom of Jonathan Clements, a legendary columnist who championed simplicity and peace of mind in investing.  … Read More
Explore evidence showing why active funds rarely sustain outperformance and how index investing offers a more reliable strategy.
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From Hot Hand to Cold Reality - New Evidence on the Fate of Winning Funds

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by Robin Powell — Monday, October 06, 2025
Explore evidence showing why active funds rarely sustain outperformance and how index investing offers a more reliable strategy.  … Read More
The track record of USAA, and Victory Capital active managers are put under IFA's research microscope as we take a Deeper Look at the Performance.
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Victory Capital (USAA, Munder, RS) Mutual Funds: A Deeper Look at the Performance

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by Murray Coleman — Wednesday, October 01, 2025
The track record of this family's active managers are put under IFA's research microscope.The track record of this family's active managers are put under IFA's research microscope.  … Read More
The SEC's crackdown on advisory conflicts exposes industry issues. Find out how to protect your portfolio from high fees and biased advice.
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SEC Enforcement Surge Exposes Hidden Conflicts in Financial Advice

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by Robin Powell — Thursday, September 25, 2025
The SEC's crackdown on advisory conflicts exposes industry issues. Find out how to protect your portfolio from high fees and biased advice.  … Read More

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