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One Hundred IFA Index Portfolios:
Information
IFA Index Portfolio 10
IFA Index Portfolio 20
IFA Index Portfolio 30
IFA Index Portfolio 40
IFA Index Portfolio 50
IFA Index Portfolio 60
IFA Index Portfolio 70
IFA Index Portfolio 80
IFA Index Portfolio 90
IFA Index Portfolio 100
Disclosures for Backtested Performance
  • 12-Steps:
    • Chart Index
    • The 12-Step Introduction
    • The 12-Step Overview
    • About the Author
    • Preface
    • Short Book on Investing
    • IFA 12-Step Brochure [PDF]
    • Intro Print Version [PDF]
    • PowerPoint Presenation
    • PowerPoint [PDF]
    • Art Gallery
    • FAQ
    • IFA Store
    • Buy the Book
    • Backtested Disclosures
  • Step 1

    Step 1: Active Investors

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 1.2.1 Active Investors
    • 1.2.2 Index Funds Investors
    • 1.2.3 Beating the Market
    • 1.2.4 Risk Measurements

    Problems

    • 1.3.1 Active Investors are Everywhere
    • 1.3.2 Active Investors are Gamblers
    • 1.3.3 Active Investors Lose
    • 1.3.4 The Poor Accounting of Active Investors
    • 1.3.5 Stock Market Prices are Random
    • 1.3.6 Stock Markets are Efficient
    • 1.3.7 When Risk Capacity is not Matched with Risk Exposure
    • 1.3.8 The High Cost of Turnover
    • 1.3.9 The Emotional Stress of Active Investing
    • 1.3.10 More than 1,500 Investors can be Wrong

    Solutions

    • 1.4.1 Active Investors Anonymous
    • 1.4.2 The Ulysses Pact
    • 1.4.3 The History of 12-Step Recovery Programs
    • 1.4.4 The Big Book of Investing
    • 1.4.5 Top Investors Agree
    • 1.4.6 Index Funds Investors Win
  • Step 2

    Step 2: Nobel Laureates

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Fee Page
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 2.2.1 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences
    • 2.2.2 The University of Chicago, Center for Research in Security Prices, and the Stock Market Database

    Problems

    • 2.3.1 Investors Rely on Lady Luck
    • 2.3.2 Active Investors are Unaware of Academic Studies

    Solutions

    • Alfred Nobel
    • Blaise Pascal
    • Edmund Halley
    • Adam Smith
    • Louis Bachelier
    • Alfred Cowles
    • Harry Markowitz
    • James Tobin
    • Frank Modigliani
    • Merton Miller
    • William Sharpe
    • Paul Samuelson
    • Eugene Fama
    • Michael Jensen
    • Rex Sinquefield
    • Friedrich von Hayek
    • Burton Malkiel
    • John Bogle
    • David Booth
    • Kenneth French
    • Who Do You Trust?
    • Market Forces: May They Be With You
  • Step 3

    Step 3: Stock Pickers

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
      • page 4
      • page 5
      • page 6
      • page 7
      • page 8
      • page 9
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 3.2.1 Stock Pickers
    • 3.2.2 Adjusted Performance

    Problems

    • 3.3.1 Why Stock Pickers Fail
    • 3.3.2 The Stock Picker’s Graveyard
    • 3.3.3 Incubator Funds
    • 3.3.4 Studies and Observations that Show the Daunting Odds of Stock Picking
    • 3.3.5 Stock Pickers and Coin Flippers
    • 3.3.6 Stock Pickers are Focused on Short Term
    • 3.3.7 Stock Pickers are Style Drifters
    • 3.3.8 Stock Pickers are Looking for a Needle in a Haystack
    • 3.3.9 Stock Pickers Play a Zero Sum Game
    • 3.3.10 Stock Pickers in International Markets
    • 3.3.11 Stock Pickers in Small-Cap Markets
    • 3.3.12 Stock Pickers Pay More Taxes
    • 3.3.13 Stock Picking Gurus and Their Real Records
    • 3.3.14 Stock Pickers Don’t Want You to Know the Truth

    Solutions

  • Step 4

    Step 4: Time Pickers

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 4.2.1 Random Walk Theory
    • 4.2.2 Efficient Market Hypothesis

    Problems

    • 4.3.1 Pickers are Fooled by Randomness
    • 4.3.2 Academic Studies Prove that Time Picking doesn’t Work
    • 4.3.3 Time Picking Gurus
    • 4.3.4 Gains and Losses are Impossible to Identify in Advance
    • 4.3.5 Time Pickers Pay More Taxes

    Solutions

  • Step 5

    Step 5: Manager Pickers

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    Problems

    • 5.3.1 Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Results
    • 5.3.2 Persistence in Track Records
    • 5.3.3 Sources of Information Used by Manager Pickers
    • Is a Highly Rated Fund a Good Thing?
    • The Forbes Mutual Fund Honor Roll
    • Mutual Fund Advertisements
    • 5.3.4 Markets Make Managers
    • 5.3.5 Irrelevant Benchmarks

    Solutions

  • Step 6

    Step 6: Style Drifters

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 6.2.1 Investment Style
    • 6.2.2 Style Drift

    Problems

    • 6.3.1 Style Drift Alters Risk Exposure
    • 6.3.2 Style Drifters
    • 6.3.3 Style Drift and the Fama/French Risk Factors

    Solutions

  • Step 7

    Step 7: Silent Partners

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    Problems

    • 7.3.1 Active Investors are Unaware of All the Costs
    • 7.3.2 Taxes
    • 7.3.3 Inflation

    Solutions

    • 7.4.1 Index Funds and Tax-Managed Index Funds
    • 7.4.2 Reduce Taxes and Turnover Costs with Index Funds
  • Step 8

    Step 8: Riskese

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
      • page 4
      • page 5
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 8.2.1 Standard Deviation
    • 8.2.2 Probability Distributions and Histograms
    • 8.2.3 Mean Reversion
    • 8.2.4 Expected Return
    • 8.2.5 Rolling Period Returns
    • 8.2.6 Risk
    • 8.2.7 The Dimensions of Stock Return
    • Market Risk Factor
    • Size Risk Factor
    • Value Risk Factor
    • Term Risk Factor
    • Default Risk Factor
    • 8.2.8 Implications of the Fama/French Three-Factor Model
    • 8.2.9 Time Diversification of Risk

    Problems

    • 8.3.1 Active Investors don’t Understand Risk and Return
    • 8.3.2 Investors Like Comfort and Dislike Uncertainty
    • 8.3.3 Stock Pickers Dilute the Two Important Risk Factors
    • 8.3.4 The Myth of the Ideal Investment

    Solutions

  • Step 9

    Step 9: History

      • Page: 
      • page 1
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      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 9.2.1 Historical Databases and Studies
    • 9.2.2 Time Series Construction

    Problems

    Solutions

    • 9.4.1 Long-term History Characterizes Risk and Return
    • 9.4.1a Probability of Portfolio Recovery
    • 9.4.2 Cross Correlation among Indexes
    • A Comparative History of Several Indexes
      using Rolling Periods
    • A Comparative History of Market Cap Deciles
    • The Returns Matrix
  • Step 10

    Step 10: Risk Capacity

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • Dimension One: Time Horizon and Liquidity Needs
    • Dimension Two: Attitude Toward Risk
    • Dimension Three: Net Worth
    • Dimension Four: Income and Savings Rate
    • Dimension Five: Investment Knowledge

    Problems

    • 10.3.1 Investors do not Properly Assess Risk Capacity
    • 10.3.2 Risk Capacity Changes over Time

    Solutions

    • 10.4.1 The Risk Capacity Survey
    • 10.4.2 The Ten Dimensions of Risk
    • 10.4.3 The Color of Risk Spectrum
    • 10.4.4 Twenty Risk Capacities
    • 10.4.5 Capacity Adjusted Risk
  • Step 11

    Step 11: Risk Exposure

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
      • page 4
      • page 5
      • page 6
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 11.2.1 Modern Portfolio Theory
    • 11.2.2 Diversification
    • 11.2.3 Global Diversification
    • 11.2.4 Portfolio Rebalancing
    • 11.2.5 Whole Portfolios
    • 11.2.6 The Prudent Investor Act
    • Five Principles of Prudence

    Problems

    • 11.3.1 How Much Risk is There?
    • 11.3.2 Where is the Data?
    • 11.3.3 Investors Want to Avoid Risk
    • 11.3.4 Risk is Good in Proper Doses
    • 11.3.5 Portfolios Get Out of Balance
    • 11.3.6 Selecting Index Funds

    Solutions

    • 11.4.2 Index Mutual Funds Earn more Return and Eliminate more Risk
    • 11.4.3 The Most Efficient Funds on the Market
    • Small Cap Strategy
    • U.S. Small-Cap Strategy
    • U.S. Micro-Cap Strategy
    • Value Strategies
    • U.S. Small-Cap Value Strategy
    • U.S. Large-Cap Value Strategy
    • Real Estate Securities Strategy
    • U.S. Large Company Strategy
    • Developed International Markets
    • Emerging Markets
    • Fixed Income
    • 11.4.4 Are Commodities Worth the Risk?
    • 11.4.5 Matching People with Portfolios
  • Step 12

    Step 12: Invest and Relax

      • Page: 
      • page 1
      • page 2
      • page 3
    • Introduction
    • Quotes
    • Summary
    • Review Questions
    • Fees
    • Backtested Disclosures

    Definitions

    • 12.2.1 Registered Investment Advisers
    • 12.2.2 Dimensional Fund Advisors
    • 12.2.3 Rebalancing Portfolios
    • 12.2.4 Rebalancing Formula
    • 12.2.5 Tax Loss Harvesting
    • 12.2.5a Mutual Fund Distributions
    • 12.2.5b Cash Withdrawal Considerations
    • 12.2.6 Financial Advice
    • Estate Planning
    • Insurance
    • Accounting and Tax Advice
    • Investment Advisors
    • Life Planning
    • The Glide Path of Life and Your IFA Index Portfolio
    • Retirement Planner

    Problems

    • 12.3.1 Active Investors Procrastinate
    • 12.3.2 Active Investors "Go It Alone"
    • 12.3.3 The Media Wants Investors to Worry
    • Asset Allocation
    • Minimization of Investment Costs
    • Minimization of Taxes
    • Reliable Investment Performance
    • A Simple and Understandable Investment Strategy
    • An Easier Way to Track Investment Performance
    • Increased Leverage and Compounding
      of Investment Wealth
    • Invest like Institutional Investors

    Solutions