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Eugene
F. Fama Jr.
Vice
President
Dimensional Fund Advisors |
July
2001
What
Makes an Asset Class?
Sometimes NASDAQ is
referred to as an asset class, but it's not. It's an exchange that contains
several asset classes. A partial index of NASDAQ stocks might proxy for
a tech stock "asset class"but there's little theoretical
reason to think tech stocks are an asset class either.
Talking about what
is or isn't an asset class might seem trivial, but it's important because
people use asset classes as key components of diversified portfolios.
For this purpose each asset class needs to have a specific risk-return
function.
Sorting securities
on anything other than the dimensions of expected returns can fudge the
clarity of the investment process and undermine portfolio diversification.
When investors mistake where returns come from, the asset classes they
assemble become arbitrary. This can lead to inadvertent tilts on the underlying
factors that actually determine returns.
For example, investors
sometimes manage industry exposure, as if sectors constitute asset classes.
Analysts on TV talk about what companies produce and how it affects the
prospects for their stock prices. As Adam Smith pointed out over 200 years
ago, a company's industry bears no direct relation to the flow of capital.1
Expected returns relate far more to a company's health and size than to
whatever the company makes.
In "Industry
Costs of Equity", Fama and French cast Adam Smith's notion in an
empirical light. They find that risk factors of market, size, and book-to-market
seem to account for virtually all the differences in returns across industry
groups (except real estate stocks, which for that reason probably constitute
their own asset class). For example, if technology stocks have had spectacular
performance, it's not because of a new business model, but because tech
stocks happened to be growth stocks in a market that strongly favored
growth. Lots of investors projecting ahead to a "new economy"
were left holding the bag when growth stocks went out of favor.
We should instead
set out to sort stocks along the true explanatory dimensionsin the
above case by forming a growth portfolioand include whatever industries
happen to fit that asset class. After all, industries drift in and out
of asset classes. They get bigger and smaller, healthier and more distressed
through time. Tech stocks might be growth stocks today, but further earnings
disasters could sweep them into the value category. Sorting stocks on
secondary criteria like industries can therefore cause a portfolio to
drift across asset classes.
Better to identify
an asset class like growth stocks scientifically and use it for what it
is: the polar end of a risk dimension that has always seen good times
and bad. Let science fiction writers speculate about a digital future;
investors should focus on the cost of capital.
A multifactor framework
gives an easy way to decide major asset classes. Market beta, company
size and value-growth represent dimensions of equity markets with their
own risk-return profiles. Asset classes are most relevant when sorted
along these dimensions, as combinations of "small cap," "large
cap," "value," and "growth." These asset classes
are transparent, focused, and consistent with economic research.
Here's a simple rule
of thumb for assembling relevant asset classes using a three-factor "style
map." Just as primary colors cannot be obtained by mixing other colors,
primary asset classes are those whose plotted positions cannot be obtained
by mixing other asset classes together. For instance, you can only get
to the position of Large Cap Value in the lower right of the map by buying
large cap value stocks. It is safe to conclude that Large Cap Value is
a primary tool for positioning a plan in multifactor space.
Mid-cap stocks, popular
as they are, are not primary components. By definition, they're neither
large nor small, but fall midway in the size risk spectrum. Their exposure
can be achieved with combinations of large cap and small cap asset classes,
and doing so offers the additional benefit of micro-cap engineering and
block trading "alpha" at the smaller end. It is therefore less
obvious that Mid-cap is a primary asset class in a multifactor context.
Why is this important?
Because, rightly or wrongly, structured investing dictates that we form
total plans using asset class components. We sort stocks along specific
risk-return dimensions and assemble them together like players on a team.
To the extent any particular player does not distill its risk-return characteristics
accurately and strongly, it distorts the overall plan structure.
Stocks can be sorted
any number of ways that don't directly relate to expected returns. The
dimensions of returns dictated by a multifactor framework can guide us
to the most consistent and flexible way to characterize asset classes
and achieve the best investment structure.
Source:
DFA
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