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- 12-Steps:
- Step 1
Step 1: Active Investors
Definitions
Problems
- 1.3.1 Active Investors are Everywhere
- 1.3.2 Active Investors are Gamblers
- 1.3.3 Active Investors Lose
- 1.3.4 The Poor Accounting of Active Investors
- 1.3.5 Stock Market Prices are Random
- 1.3.6 Stock Markets are Efficient
- 1.3.7 When Risk Capacity is not Matched with Risk Exposure
- 1.3.8 The High Cost of Turnover
- 1.3.9 The Emotional Stress of Active Investing
- 1.3.10 More than 1,500 Investors can be Wrong
- Step 2
Step 2: Nobel Laureates
Definitions
Solutions
- Alfred Nobel
- Blaise Pascal
- Edmund Halley
- Adam Smith
- Louis Bachelier
- Alfred Cowles
- Harry Markowitz
- James Tobin
- Frank Modigliani
- Merton Miller
- William Sharpe
- Paul Samuelson
- Eugene Fama
- Michael Jensen
- Rex Sinquefield
- Friedrich von Hayek
- Burton Malkiel
- John Bogle
- David Booth
- Kenneth French
- Who Do You Trust?
- Market Forces: May They Be With You
- Step 3
Step 3: Stock Pickers
Definitions
Problems
- 3.3.1 Why Stock Pickers Fail
- 3.3.2 The Stock Picker’s Graveyard
- 3.3.3 Incubator Funds
- 3.3.4 Studies and Observations that Show the Daunting Odds of Stock Picking
- 3.3.5 Stock Pickers and Coin Flippers
- 3.3.6 Stock Pickers are Focused on Short Term
- 3.3.7 Stock Pickers are Style Drifters
- 3.3.8 Stock Pickers are Looking for a Needle in a Haystack
- 3.3.9 Stock Pickers Play a Zero Sum Game
- 3.3.10 Stock Pickers in International Markets
- 3.3.11 Stock Pickers in Small-Cap Markets
- 3.3.12 Stock Pickers Pay More Taxes
- 3.3.13 Stock Picking Gurus and Their Real Records
- 3.3.14 Stock Pickers Don’t Want You to Know the Truth
- Step 4
Step 4: Time Pickers
Problems
- Step 5
Step 5: Manager Pickers
Problems
- Step 6
- Step 7
Step 7: Silent Partners
- Step 8
Step 8: Riskese
Definitions
- 8.2.1 Standard Deviation
- 8.2.2 Probability Distributions and Histograms
- 8.2.3 Mean Reversion
- 8.2.4 Expected Return
- 8.2.5 Rolling Period Returns
- 8.2.6 Risk
- 8.2.7 The Dimensions of Stock Return
- Market Risk Factor
- Size Risk Factor
- Value Risk Factor
- Term Risk Factor
- Default Risk Factor
- 8.2.8 Implications of the Fama/French Three-Factor Model
- 8.2.9 Time Diversification of Risk
Problems
- Step 9
Step 9: History
- Step 10
Step 10: Risk Capacity
Definitions
Problems
- Step 11
Step 11: Risk Exposure
Definitions
Problems
Solutions
- 11.4.2 Index Mutual Funds Earn more Return and Eliminate more Risk
- 11.4.3 The Most Efficient Funds on the Market
- Small Cap Strategy
- U.S. Small-Cap Strategy
- U.S. Micro-Cap Strategy
- Value Strategies
- U.S. Small-Cap Value Strategy
- U.S. Large-Cap Value Strategy
- Real Estate Securities Strategy
- U.S. Large Company Strategy
- Developed International Markets
- Emerging Markets
- Fixed Income
- 11.4.4 Are Commodities Worth the Risk?
- 11.4.5 Matching People with Portfolios
- Step 12
Step 12: Invest and Relax
Definitions
- 12.2.1 Registered Investment Advisers
- 12.2.2 Dimensional Fund Advisors
- 12.2.3 Rebalancing Portfolios
- 12.2.4 Rebalancing Formula
- 12.2.5 Tax Loss Harvesting
- 12.2.5a Mutual Fund Distributions
- 12.2.5b Cash Withdrawal Considerations
- 12.2.6 Financial Advice
- Estate Planning
- Insurance
- Accounting and Tax Advice
- Investment Advisors
- Life Planning
- The Glide Path of Life and Your IFA Index Portfolio
- Retirement Planner
Problems
- 12.3.1 Active Investors Procrastinate
- 12.3.2 Active Investors "Go It Alone"
- 12.3.3 The Media Wants Investors to Worry
- Asset Allocation
- Minimization of Investment Costs
- Minimization of Taxes
- Reliable Investment Performance
- A Simple and Understandable Investment Strategy
- An Easier Way to Track Investment Performance
- Increased Leverage and Compounding
of Investment Wealth - Invest like Institutional Investors
Step 10: Risk Capacity
Analyze your five dimensions of risk capacity
10.1
Introduction
Each person has a unique Risk Capacity™.
The question is, how do we measure this capacity and find the right "bull"
for you to ride? "Holding risk" is like riding the bull,
and the returns are the greatest for those with the highest capacity for
staying on the bull market through the ups and downs.
Now that we have investigated
the pitfalls of active investors, learned the language of Riskese™,
and reviewed the history of various indexes, we are ready to move into
the implementation phase of the 12-Step Program. This next process is
what we call CEO Investing. CEO stands for capacity-exposure optimization
and is the process that best matches people with portfolios. At the intersection
of Risk Capacity™ and risk exposure sits a portfolio that will be
optimal for each investor, and will therefore generate optimal returns
(see Figure 10-1).
Each investor is entitled to a level of return that is commensurate with
his Risk Capacity™. Based on this logic, the measurement of Risk
Capacity™ can be elevated to a very high level of importance and
can now be addressed as the first step in the implementation phase.
The reason investors only earn approximately five percent of market rate
of returns is that their risk exposure is constantly moving from high
to low. For example, if an investor has a Risk Capacity™ of 65%
and selects a risk exposure of 35%, he is being overly conservative. When
stock market returns start taking off, this investor feels he should further
increase his risk exposure. What often occurs is he then moves his exposure
up to 95%. At a higher exposure of 95%, the portfolio is required to have
high volatility, which eventually scares the investor back down to a 35%
exposure.
The optimal scenario for this investor is to choose a 65% exposure to
match his 65% Risk Capacity™ and ride it. The market is like a wild
bull trying to buck investors off its back. The objective of CEO investing
is to find the bull each investor can stick with and ride until the buzzer
sounds. In this analogy, the buzzer represents an investor’s need
to withdraw funds from his account.
There are five dimensions of Risk Capacity™. Each one can be carefully
measured with a properly designed survey consisting of 25 questions,
along with an expert in CEO investing. This thorough analysis is critical
to pinpointing the optimal portfolio of index funds, which will provide
the optimal returns for each investor.
The five dimensions for determining Risk Capacity™ are discussed
in this step. Since all of long-term returns are determined by asset allocation
or risk exposure, it is essential that each investor thoroughly understand
the individual components of Risk Capacity™.
Morningstar Video Report: Rethinking Risk Tolerance
Quotes
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- 12-Steps:
- Step 1
Step 1: Active Investors
Definitions
Problems
- 1.3.1 Active Investors are Everywhere
- 1.3.2 Active Investors are Gamblers
- 1.3.3 Active Investors Lose
- 1.3.4 The Poor Accounting of Active Investors
- 1.3.5 Stock Market Prices are Random
- 1.3.6 Stock Markets are Efficient
- 1.3.7 When Risk Capacity is not Matched with Risk Exposure
- 1.3.8 The High Cost of Turnover
- 1.3.9 The Emotional Stress of Active Investing
- 1.3.10 More than 1,500 Investors can be Wrong
- Step 2
Step 2: Nobel Laureates
Definitions
Solutions
- Alfred Nobel
- Blaise Pascal
- Edmund Halley
- Adam Smith
- Louis Bachelier
- Alfred Cowles
- Harry Markowitz
- James Tobin
- Frank Modigliani
- Merton Miller
- William Sharpe
- Paul Samuelson
- Eugene Fama
- Michael Jensen
- Rex Sinquefield
- Friedrich von Hayek
- Burton Malkiel
- John Bogle
- David Booth
- Kenneth French
- Who Do You Trust?
- Market Forces: May They Be With You
- Step 3
Step 3: Stock Pickers
Definitions
Problems
- 3.3.1 Why Stock Pickers Fail
- 3.3.2 The Stock Picker’s Graveyard
- 3.3.3 Incubator Funds
- 3.3.4 Studies and Observations that Show the Daunting Odds of Stock Picking
- 3.3.5 Stock Pickers and Coin Flippers
- 3.3.6 Stock Pickers are Focused on Short Term
- 3.3.7 Stock Pickers are Style Drifters
- 3.3.8 Stock Pickers are Looking for a Needle in a Haystack
- 3.3.9 Stock Pickers Play a Zero Sum Game
- 3.3.10 Stock Pickers in International Markets
- 3.3.11 Stock Pickers in Small-Cap Markets
- 3.3.12 Stock Pickers Pay More Taxes
- 3.3.13 Stock Picking Gurus and Their Real Records
- 3.3.14 Stock Pickers Don’t Want You to Know the Truth
- Step 4
Step 4: Time Pickers
Problems
- Step 5
Step 5: Manager Pickers
Problems
- Step 6
- Step 7
Step 7: Silent Partners
- Step 8
Step 8: Riskese
Definitions
- 8.2.1 Standard Deviation
- 8.2.2 Probability Distributions and Histograms
- 8.2.3 Mean Reversion
- 8.2.4 Expected Return
- 8.2.5 Rolling Period Returns
- 8.2.6 Risk
- 8.2.7 The Dimensions of Stock Return
- Market Risk Factor
- Size Risk Factor
- Value Risk Factor
- Term Risk Factor
- Default Risk Factor
- 8.2.8 Implications of the Fama/French Three-Factor Model
- 8.2.9 Time Diversification of Risk
Problems
- Step 9
Step 9: History
- Step 10
Step 10: Risk Capacity
Definitions
Problems
- Step 11
Step 11: Risk Exposure
Definitions
Problems
Solutions
- 11.4.2 Index Mutual Funds Earn more Return and Eliminate more Risk
- 11.4.3 The Most Efficient Funds on the Market
- Small Cap Strategy
- U.S. Small-Cap Strategy
- U.S. Micro-Cap Strategy
- Value Strategies
- U.S. Small-Cap Value Strategy
- U.S. Large-Cap Value Strategy
- Real Estate Securities Strategy
- U.S. Large Company Strategy
- Developed International Markets
- Emerging Markets
- Fixed Income
- 11.4.4 Are Commodities Worth the Risk?
- 11.4.5 Matching People with Portfolios
- Step 12
Step 12: Invest and Relax
Definitions
- 12.2.1 Registered Investment Advisers
- 12.2.2 Dimensional Fund Advisors
- 12.2.3 Rebalancing Portfolios
- 12.2.4 Rebalancing Formula
- 12.2.5 Tax Loss Harvesting
- 12.2.5a Mutual Fund Distributions
- 12.2.5b Cash Withdrawal Considerations
- 12.2.6 Financial Advice
- Estate Planning
- Insurance
- Accounting and Tax Advice
- Investment Advisors
- Life Planning
- The Glide Path of Life and Your IFA Index Portfolio
- Retirement Planner
Problems
- 12.3.1 Active Investors Procrastinate
- 12.3.2 Active Investors "Go It Alone"
- 12.3.3 The Media Wants Investors to Worry
- Asset Allocation
- Minimization of Investment Costs
- Minimization of Taxes
- Reliable Investment Performance
- A Simple and Understandable Investment Strategy
- An Easier Way to Track Investment Performance
- Increased Leverage and Compounding
of Investment Wealth - Invest like Institutional Investors
Backtested Performance Info | Terms of Use | IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
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